Integrated energy systems modeling with multi-criteria decision analysis and stakeholder engagement for identifying a sustainable energy transition
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Other Title
Authors
Davidsdottir, B.
Ásgeirsson, E.I.
Fazeli, R.
Gunnarsdottir, I.
Leaver, Jonanthan
Shafiei, E.
Stefánsson, H.
Ásgeirsson, E.I.
Fazeli, R.
Gunnarsdottir, I.
Leaver, Jonanthan
Shafiei, E.
Stefánsson, H.
Author ORCID Profiles (clickable)
Degree
Grantor
Date
2024-08-25
Supervisors
Type
Journal Article
Ngā Upoko Tukutuku (Māori subject headings)
Keyword
Iceland
energy policy
sustainable energy
emission reduction pathways
decision making
stakeholders
energy policy
sustainable energy
emission reduction pathways
decision making
stakeholders
ANZSRC Field of Research Code (2020)
Citation
Davidsdottir, B., Ásgeirsson, E.I., Fazeli, R., Gunnarsdottir, I., Leaver, J., Shafiei, E., & Stefánsson, H. (2024). Integrated energy systems modeling with multi-criteria decision analysis and stakeholder engagement for identifying a sustainable energy transition. Energies, , 17(17), 4266; https://doi.org/10.3390/en17174266
Abstract
The aim of this paper is to present a decision support system (DSS) to capture the complexity of the transition of a national energy system to net zero in the context of multiple sustainability themes. The paper proposes an integrated assessment framework that combines dynamic systems modeling, sustainability indicators, and multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) with direct stakeholder involvement. To illustrate the use of the DSS, the paper compares bundles of climate change policies that aim to decarbonize the road transport sector in Iceland. Eighteen scenarios and alternative development trajectories are defined for the Icelandic energy system based on a combi nation of three main driving forces. These are, firstly, economic development (three cases); secondly, changes in energy efficiency (two cases); and finally, three climate policy bundles aimed at increas ing the share of electric vehicles. Based on the results from the integrated assessment framework, the performance scores of the climate policy bundles are compared across the following five sustainability themes: social impact; economic development; environmental impact; energy security; and technical aspects. The findings confirm that a different conclusion may be reached when multiple sustainability themes are applied in the selection of preferred policy bundles as compared to conventional techno-economic criteria. Banning the registration of fossil-fueled vehicles, combined with economic instruments, offers the best decarbonizing strategy to reach climate and energy policy goals simultaneously.
Publisher
MDPI (Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute)
Permanent link
Link to ePress publication
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/en17174266
Copyright holder
© 2024 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.
Copyright notice
CC BY Attribution 4.0 International