Mapping the potential global range of the brown marmorated stink bug, Halyomorpha halys, with particular reference to New Zealand.
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Other Title
Authors
Fraser, Diane
Kumar, Shivani
Aguilar, Glenn
Kumar, Shivani
Aguilar, Glenn
Author ORCID Profiles (clickable)
Degree
Grantor
Date
2017-09-20
Supervisors
Type
Journal Article
Ngā Upoko Tukutuku (Māori subject headings)
Keyword
Halyomorpha halys (brown marmorated stink bug)
insects
pests
modelling
range
global
global
New Zealand
climate change
invasive species
insects
pests
modelling
range
global
global
New Zealand
climate change
invasive species
ANZSRC Field of Research Code (2020)
Citation
Fraser, D., Kumar, S., & Aguilar, G. (2017). Mapping the potential global range of the brown marmorated stink bug, Halyomorpha halys, with particular reference to New Zealand. Climate, 5(3), 75-89. doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/cli5030075
Abstract
Originating from Asia, the brown marmorated stink bug (BMSB) is a significant pest of horticultural/agricultural crops, grapes, woody ornamental and herbaceous plants, and is also a nuisance to people, due to its overwintering behavior in human habitation. The global range of this pest is steadily increasing and previous predictions of environmental suitability have shown New Zealand to be highly suitable. Due to the economic value of horticultural and agricultural industries to the New Zealand economy, it is vital to understand the range of potential risk within the country. Global and New Zealand potential suitability for BMSB was modeled using three algorithms and the resulting predictions ensembled to predict the potential range under current climatic conditions and under trajectories of future low (Representative Concentration Pathways, RCP, 2.6) and high (RCP 8.5) greenhouse gas emissions for both 2050 and 2070. Under current conditions, models showed a high global suitability within latitudes 25°–50° N, southern South America, southeast and southwest regions of Australia and large areas of New Zealand. Modeling the effect of climate change on BMSB range in New Zealand resulted in a southerly range shift over time, particularly with high emissions trajectory. Currently, BMSB is not established in New Zealand and it is vital that this remains the case
Publisher
MDPI (Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute)
Permanent link
Link to ePress publication
DOI
doi:10.3390/cli5030075
Copyright holder
© 2017 by the authors.
Copyright notice
Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).