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    Mapping the potential global range of the brown marmorated stink bug, Halyomorpha halys, with particular reference to New Zealand.

    Fraser, Diane; Kumar, Shivani; Aguilar, Glenn

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    Fraser_et_al_2017_BMSB_climate.pdf (5.509Mb)
    Date
    2017-09-20
    Citation:
    Fraser, D., Kumar, S., & Aguilar, G. (2017). Mapping the potential global range of the brown marmorated stink bug, Halyomorpha halys, with particular reference to New Zealand. Climate, 5(3), 75-89. doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/cli5030075
    Permanent link to Research Bank record:
    https://hdl.handle.net/10652/4151
    Abstract
    Originating from Asia, the brown marmorated stink bug (BMSB) is a significant pest of horticultural/agricultural crops, grapes, woody ornamental and herbaceous plants, and is also a nuisance to people, due to its overwintering behavior in human habitation. The global range of this pest is steadily increasing and previous predictions of environmental suitability have shown New Zealand to be highly suitable. Due to the economic value of horticultural and agricultural industries to the New Zealand economy, it is vital to understand the range of potential risk within the country. Global and New Zealand potential suitability for BMSB was modeled using three algorithms and the resulting predictions ensembled to predict the potential range under current climatic conditions and under trajectories of future low (Representative Concentration Pathways, RCP, 2.6) and high (RCP 8.5) greenhouse gas emissions for both 2050 and 2070. Under current conditions, models showed a high global suitability within latitudes 25°–50° N, southern South America, southeast and southwest regions of Australia and large areas of New Zealand. Modeling the effect of climate change on BMSB range in New Zealand resulted in a southerly range shift over time, particularly with high emissions trajectory. Currently, BMSB is not established in New Zealand and it is vital that this remains the case
    Keywords:
    Halyomorpha halys (brown marmorated stink bug), insects, pests, modelling, range, global, global, New Zealand, climate change, invasive species
    ANZSRC Field of Research:
    050103 Invasive Species Ecology
    Copyright Holder:
    © 2017 by the authors.

    Copyright Notice:
    Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
    Rights:
    This digital work is protected by copyright. It may be consulted by you, provided you comply with the provisions of the Act and the following conditions of use. These documents or images may be used for research or private study purposes. Whether they can be used for any other purpose depends upon the Copyright Notice above. You will recognise the author's and publishers rights and give due acknowledgement where appropriate.
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    • Natural Sciences Journal Articles [148]

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