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dc.contributor.authorFernando, Achela
dc.contributor.authorShamseldin, Asaad
dc.contributor.authorAbrahart, Robert
dc.description.abstractRiver flow forecasting models provide an essential tool to manage water resources, address problems associated with both excesses and deficits, and to find suitable solutions. With changing climate and environmental conditions, real-time methods that rely on data-driven methods of river flow forecasting has become appropriate enabling the use of real data from the recent past rather than relying on models based on the underlying hydrology of the catchment(s). This paper investigates the application of the novel datadriven technique of Gene Expression Programming (GEP) to develop one-day-ahead flow forecasting models for catchments with widely differing characteristics. The method differs from other more hitherto popular data-driven techniques that produce “Black-Box” models in that it generates a transparent model with a mathematical expression for the mapping from input parameters such as antecedent rainfall/runoff to the forecast flow. Four GEP models using GenXproTools® software developed for four catchments show that accurate forecasts fit for purpose can be made from these transparent models.en_NZ
dc.subjectRiver flow forecastingen_NZ
dc.subjectGene expression programmingen_NZ
dc.subjectData-driven methodsen_NZ
dc.titleRiver flow forecasting using gene expression programming modelsen_NZ
dc.typeConference Contribution - Paper in Published Proceedingsen_NZ
dc.subject.marsden090509 Water Resources Engineeringen_NZ
dc.identifier.bibliographicCitationFernando, A.K., Shamseldin, A.Y., & Abrahart, R.J. (2012). River flow forecasting using gene expression programming models. In R. Hinkelmann, M.H. Nasermoaddeli, S.Y. Liong, D. Savic, P. Frohle, & K.F. Daemrich (Eds.). Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Hydroinformatics, HIC 2012, Understanding changing climate and environment and finding solutions (USB ed.). Hamburg, Germany.en_NZ
unitec.institutionUnitec Institute of Technologyen_NZ
unitec.institutionUniversity of Aucklanden_NZ
unitec.publication.titleProceedings of the 10th International Conference on Hydroinformatics, HIC 2012, Understanding changing climate and environment and finding solutionsen_NZ
unitec.conference.titleHIC 2012 - 10th International Conference on Hydroinformatics: "Understanding Changing Climate and Environment and Finding Solutions"en_NZ
unitec.conference.orgInternational Water Association, International Association for Hydro-Environment Engineering and Researchen_NZ
dc.contributor.affiliationUnitec Institute of Technologyen_NZ
dc.contributor.affiliationUniversity of Aucklanden_NZ
dc.contributor.affiliationUniversity of Nottinghamen_NZ
unitec.institution.studyareaConstruction + Engineering

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